Agentic Commerce: Winners, Losers, and the Forces Behind the Change
Some waves in technology build slowly. Others overturn the entire shoreline. Agentic Commerce belongs to the latter.
As AI agents step into the role once held by search engines, marketplaces, and retailers, the commercial landscape is turning upside down before our eyes. These agents now determine which products surface, which brands gain visibility, and which merchants ultimately win the transaction.
For some, this shift will unlock vast new channels of growth. For others, it could quietly dismantle the foundations of their business models.
Yet none of this should come as a surprise. For companies watching closely, the shift was visible long before it arrived. The clues were everywhere:
- in how consumers stopped searching, and started asking
- in how checkout flows shrank to a single click
- in how AI became part of daily life
So, Agentic Commerce didn’t appear overnight. It is the natural culmination of technological, behavioral, and economic forces that have been aligning for some time. Together, they explain why this transformation is happening now — and why its impact will be impossible to contain.
What’s Driving the Change
AI becomes the first point of contact
Increasingly, users turn to AI assistants for recommendations instead of starting with search engines or marketplaces. Asking “What’s the best cleaner for wine stains?” or “Which lamp fits a Scandinavian interior?” has become faster and more intuitive than browsing endless product grids.
The rise of zero-click commerce
In digital journeys, every click creates friction — and lost conversions. Agentic Commerce eliminates that friction entirely: discovery, comparison, and purchase now happen in a single interface. Analysts already describe this shift as zero-click search, where the first answer becomes the final transaction.
New monetization models for AI
After the initial wave of subscription revenues, AI providers are seeking sustainable business models. Transaction fees and merchant commissions offer a new source of income — one that aligns platform incentives with measurable commercial outcomes.

Standardization through open protocols
The emergence of frameworks like the Agentic Commerce Protocol (ACP) allows AI agents and merchants to communicate through a shared data language. This interoperability makes large-scale adoption possible without bespoke integrations for each platform.
Maturity of language model
The newest generation of AI models can interpret nuanced user intent, evaluate multi-dimensional product attributes, and deliver context-aware recommendations. Only now are they capable of guiding users through complex buying decisions with human-like precision.
Rising consumer expectations
Shoppers are growing accustomed to instant answers and one-step actions. Once people realize they can “ask and buy” within a single conversation, that level of convenience will become the new baseline — pushing brands and retailers to meet them there.
As all these forces gain strength, the balance of opportunity across the commerce ecosystem is shifting, creating a new competitive map. The winners will be those who can adapt their data, architecture, and business models to an AI-first environment. Those who can’t — or won’t — risk being left behind.
Who Stands to Win
Digitally mature merchants
Retailers and brands with modern, API-first systems, rich product metadata, and well-structured catalogs will be the first to benefit. Their data can easily feed into AI agents, making their products visible and purchasable in emerging conversational channels.
Niche and long-tail sellers
Smaller merchants with distinctive products stand to reach audiences they could never access through search or advertising alone. Within AI-driven recommendations, quality and relevance often outweigh brand size or marketing budgets.

FinTechs and infrastructure providers
Payment platforms such as Stripe, which co-developed the Agentic Commerce Protocol (ACP), are establishing themselves as the backbone of this new commerce layer. Those who build the rails for tokenized, agent-initiated transactions will own a critical share of the value chain.
AI and platform operators
Conversational interfaces that capture intent and facilitate checkout become the new gatekeepers of demand. They will control which products appear, how they’re ranked, and what commissions or fees are applied to each transaction.
Consumers
Shoppers will gain from a more seamless, low-friction journey — from asking a question to completing a purchase — without navigating multiple websites or interfaces.
Who May Lose Ground
Traditional marketplaces and intermediaries
As purchases begin inside chat interfaces, the role of marketplaces like Amazon or Allegro as discovery gatekeepers may weaken. Traffic and conversion could shift upstream to the AI layer, where agents recommend products directly.
Price aggregators and comparison engines
In a world where AI already compares products and pricing internally, external aggregators may struggle to justify their role. The assistant becomes the comparison layer itself — personalized, dynamic, and invisible.

Strong brands controlling their own storefronts
Agentic Commerce challenges the notion of brand-owned experiences. When a transaction happens through an AI interface, the brand loses control over layout, storytelling, and visual identity — its exposure depends entirely on algorithmic relevance.
Data-poor merchants
Companies with incomplete, inconsistent, or unstructured product data will find themselves invisible to AI agents. Without rich metadata and accessible APIs, even great products may never surface in a conversational recommendation.
Performance-driven marketers
If users bypass search engines and websites altogether, traffic-based performance marketing models will erode. SEO, paid clicks, and retargeting become less effective; investment will need to shift toward data quality, structured feeds, and AI channel optimization.
Conclusion: The Rules of Commerce are Being Rewritten
The rise of agent-led shopping is quietly rewriting the rules of visibility, value, and competition in digital commerce.
In this new landscape, it’s no longer the marketplace owners — or the size of your advertising budget — that determine who gets seen. AI algorithms now decide what surfaces, when, and to whom. Product data becomes a company’s real marketing currency, and adaptability its greatest advantage.
The early adopters aren’t just selling through AI; they’re teaching it to recognize, rank, and recommend them. Everyone else is fighting to stay visible in a marketplace they no longer control.
The message is clear: in the age of agent-led shopping, success won’t depend on who shouts the loudest, but on who speaks the language of AI fluently enough to be heard.
You might also like:
- Agentic Commerce, Part 1: Where Conversations Become Transactions » Learn more
- Our expertise: Artificial Intelligence » Learn more
- Pharma’s AI Readiness Index: Who Leads the Race? » Learn more
- AI-Driven Personalization in B2B E-Commerce: From Recommendation Logic to Real-Time Experience » Learn more
- More German companies see opportunities in artificial intelligence » Learn more

